Roaring Gap, North Carolina Weather Forecast Discussion

760
FXUS61 KRNK 071415
AFDRNK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1015 AM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Lingering showers will begin to taper off throughout the day.
Dry high pressure builds in tonight and will remain the
dominant weather feature trough the week, resulting in sunny
and dry conditions through next weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 1000 AM EDT Sunday...
No changes to the forecast so far for today as temperatures
appear to be on track. Rain chances across the Piedmont should
continue to diminish through the rest of the morning before
clearing starts this afternoon. Some areas west of the Blue
Ridge have already started to clear out so far this morning
across the area.
Previous Discussion:
Key Messages:
1) Rain showers continue through the morning.
2) Drier air arrives this afternoon and tonight, bringing an end
to any rain.
Light rain is ongoing across most of the area this morning in
response to a stalled frontal boundary across the Mid-Atlantic
and weak low pressure moving along the front. Will continue to
see light rain through daybreak and could have showers linger
east of the mountains through about noon. Eventually high
pressure will build east and the front will move off into the
Atlantic by tonight. Drier air will begin to filter in from the
northwest and less humidity and cooler temperatures will arrive.
Clouds will gradually clear and should see some sun by the
afternoon. Temperatures slow to warm this morning, but upper 60s
to low 70s expected. Chilly tonight with lows in the 40s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 1245 AM EDT Sunday...
Key Messages:
1) Confidence is high for dry weather with high pressure wedged
against the Blue Ridge.
2) Temperatures will stay below normal but moderate a little by
Wednesday.
High pressure originally from Canada should arrive by Monday, which
will provide a cool and dry northeast flow as it wedges against the
eastern slopes of the Blue Ridge. Moisture will be suppressed along
the East Coast due to a dry air mass with dewpoints in the 40s
across most of the Appalachian Mountains. Temperatures should stay
around ten degrees below normal through Monday and Tuesday, but they
will moderate a little closer to normal values by Wednesday.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 1245 AM EDT Sunday...
Key Messages:
1) Confidence is high for dry weather to continue with high
pressure still wedged against the Blue Ridge.
2) Temperatures should hover near or below normal for this time of
year.
While high pressure should drift offshore on Thursday, another high
will dive southeastward from Canada on Friday to replace it. Thus,
the wedge of high pressure against the eastern slopes of the Blue
Ridge should persist through the end of the week amidst a cool and
dry northeast flow. Temperatures will remain near or below normal
for this time of year. Some models still depict this dry pattern may
last for a while beyond the timeframe of this forecast.
&&
.AVIATION /14Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 650 AM EDT Sunday...
A few rain showers will remain across the Piedmont areas for the
next few hours. Sub- VFR with low cigs across the mountains and
some fog across the Piedmont. Conditions will gradually improve
by late morning as rain showers taper off and cigs begin to
rise with drier air filtering into the region. Should have
widespread VFR return by the afternoon/evening, continuing into
the overnight period.
Low confidence in fog development tonight with drier air
settling in.
.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
VFR conditions expected through the coming week, outside any
patchy late night/early morning fog.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...BMG
NEAR TERM...BMG/EB
SHORT TERM...PW
LONG TERM...PW
AVIATION...BMG

NWS RNK Office Area Forecast Discussion