Rosedale, Kentucky Weather Forecast Discussion

312
FXUS61 KILN 060035
AFDILN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
835 PM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Precipitation will be possible through Saturday as a frontal
boundary approaches and moves through the region. There will be the
potential that some of the storms through this evening will be
severe. Dry conditions will return for Saturday night through at
least Thursday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Evening update...
Initial thunderstorm activity around 4 pm quickly shifted out of the
area earlier this evening with relative dryness occurring over the
last two hours. Instability remains across the southeast with some
scattered development now occurring in central Kentucky. As the
shortwave moves into the area, there could still be some expansion in
the thunderstorm coverage northward, so held on to some thunderstorm
mention across several counties in northeast Kentucky and southern
Ohio. The severe threat is likely fairly limited, but with the
presence of strong wind shear (45 knots), can`t rule out a few
strong to severe storms with damaging winds and large hail the main
threats. Again, this threat is isolated to only a few counties in
the local area (HWO updated).
Otherwise, still expect some showers through the overnight, but the
intensity will be rather weak with fairly light accumulations.
Previous discussion (154pm)...
An extensive cu field has developed near and southeast of Interstate
71. This will be the focus area for showers and thunderstorm this
afternoon and into the evening hours. The environment for the severe
threat is generally limited to the southeastern portions of the
region across the lower Scioto Valley and portions of northern
Kentucky. Damaging winds will be primary threat, but large hail and a
brief isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.
There will be a range in temperatures this afternoon with mid to
upper 80s expected across southeastern portions of the area and
middle to upper 70s expected northwest of Dayton.
Additional shower and thunderstorm activity is expected overnight as
the upper level disturbance moves through the region. Thunderstorm
activity will again be focused across more the southeastern portions
of the forecast area, however lingering showers further to the
northwest will be possible.
Cooler air works into the region tonight with lows in the 50s
expected overnight.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT/...
A cooler day is in store for Saturday with highs in the upper 60s to
lower 70s expected in most locations. There will still be some
shower activity, primarily southeast of Interstate 71, during the
morning and then tapering off during the afternoon. Cold air
advection cu will also be present.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Dry conditions are expected through the long term. Sunday and Sunday
night will see the coolest conditions with highs in the 60s to 70s
and lows in the low to middle 40s. There will be a gradual warming
trend through Wednesday with similar temperatures on Thursday.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Showers across the lower Ohio Valley gradually work into the area
overnight into Saturday morning, but impacts are expected to be
rather limited. Still no mention of MVFR VIS or CIGs with the cold
front that is sliding southeast of area TAF sites.
For Saturday afternoon, cumulus and mid clouds will be present for
the day with light westerly winds around 10 knots.
OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...McGinnis
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...McGinnis

NWS ILN Office Area Forecast Discussion