Royalty, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

477
FXUS64 KMAF 301141
AFDMAF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
641 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 639 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
- Warmer temperatures with dry weather conditions can be expected
  today through the upcoming weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 219 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
An upper-level trough will move eastward across Oklahoma and into
eastern portions of Texas today while upper-level ridging builds
across southeast New Mexico and west Texas behind this departing
feature. The upper-level ridge will continue to strengthen over
our forecast area through Wednesday afternoon. Surface lee
troughing will also take shape from eastern New Mexico into far
west Texas through Wednesday. This pattern will favor a warming
trend and a return to dry weather conditions across all of our
forecast area through Wednesday. Highs today are forecast to range
in the 80s across most of the area (except mid to upper 70s in
the mountains and in the 90s along the Rio Grande). Lows tonight
will average near to slightly above normal in the mid 50s to mid
60s. Temperatures will continue to trend warmer in the mid 80s to
lower 90s over most of our region by Wednesday afternoon, with a
few readings topping out in the mid 90s to near 100 degrees along
the Rio Grande.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 219 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
The upper-level ridge will remain the dominant weather feature
over our forecast area through Friday. The ridge will break down
by Friday night as an upper-level trough digs across the western
CONUS. This upper-level trough will generally remain positioned
across much of the Intermountain West through the weekend and
will generally leave our area within a relatively light westerly
to southwesterly flow pattern aloft ahead of this system. Medium
range guidance shows little in the way of meaningful moisture or
ascent over our region through the extended period so a dry
forecast with POPs near nil will continue into Monday.
Temperatures look to average above normal through the extended
period with highs each day mostly ranging in the upper 80s to
lower 90s with morning lows mainly in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
VFR conditions and light southeasterly to southerly winds will
prevail through the forecast period.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               87  61  92  64 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 85  59  90  61 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   89  63  93  64 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            87  62  92  65 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           77  60  80  61 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    83  59  88  61 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    80  53  84  54 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     87  63  91  65 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   85  63  90  65 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     86  60  91  62 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...21

NWS MAF Office Area Forecast Discussion