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Ruggles, Ohio Weather Forecast Discussion

283
FXUS61 KCLE 020654
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 254 AM EDT Thu Oct 2 2025

.SYNOPSIS... High pressure will persist over the region through the weekend before shifting east as a cold front approaches from the west early next week. The front will likely cross the local area Tuesday into Wednesday.

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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... High pressure will maintain influence over the northeastern United States through Friday with dry weather and warming temperatures anticipated across the local area through the near term period. Chilly temperatures in the 40s and 50s early this morning will rise into the 70s this afternoon, however a few spots from roughly Bowling Green to Mount Vernon may touch 80 degrees this afternoon. Tonight`s lows will be chilly but a few degrees warmer than Wednesday night; upper 40s to lower 50s are anticipated across the majority of the area with typical cold spots in interior NW PA possibly dipping into the low to mid 40s. Friday`s highs will be in the 70s and 80s.

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.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... Above normal temperatures and dry weather will continue through the weekend as the aforementioned high remains parked over the northeastern CONUS. Widespread highs in the upper 70s and mid to upper 80s are expected Saturday and Sunday. The warmest temperatures in the mid to upper 80s are likely across the western half of the local area, primarily on Saturday. Lows will generally be in the 50s each night.

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.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... The weather pattern will finally begin to shift early next week as the high drifts east and a cold front approaches from the west. The majority of Monday should be dry, however the chance of scattered showers will begin to increase Monday night. The front will likely move east across the CWA at some point Tuesday into Wednesday, during which time precipitation chances will peak. Above normal temps will likely remain well above normal on Monday before gradually decreasing and possibly falling to below normal values by Wednesday.

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.AVIATION /06Z Thursday THROUGH Monday/... VFR. SCT-BKN cirrus overnight moving in from the west, FEW-SCT cumulus formation MFD/CLE/CAK/YNG. Winds east less than 10kts become southeast less than 10kts Thursday.

Outlook...Isolated fog with non-VFR possible at and around daybreak Friday, mainly in NW OH. Otherwise, fair weather and widespread VFR are expected through this Monday.

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.MARINE... Beach Hazards Statement remains in effect until 2 AM EDT Thursday along the Lake Erie shore from Lucas County, OH to Erie County, PA. Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 2 AM Thursday from Maumee Bay, OH to Ripley, NY. The ending time for these alerts still appears reasonable based on latest trends in our marine forecast.

A ridge affects Lake Erie through this Monday as the embedded high pressure center moves from northern QC to Atlantic waters just southeast of Nantucket. NE`erly to E`erly winds as strong as 15 to 25 knots through midnight tonight ease to 5 to 15 knots and veer to SE`erly by daybreak Thursday. Accordingly, waves as large as 3 to 7 feet through about midnight tonight subside to 3 feet or less by daybreak. On Thursday through this Monday, winds are expected to vary between SE`erly and SW`erly around 5 to 15 knots. Waves of 3 feet or less are expected.

Note: this is the last Beach Hazards Statement of the season. The end of September marks the end of the Surf Zone Forecast product and the issuance of Beach Hazards Statements until next spring.

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.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None.

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SYNOPSIS...15 NEAR TERM...15 SHORT TERM...15 LONG TERM...15 AVIATION...26 MARINE...Jaszka

NWS CLE Office Area Forecast Discussion

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