Shinebone, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

272
FXUS64 KBMX 091057
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
557 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday)
Issued at 1055 PM CDT MON SEP 8 2025
At this time, our surface ridge of late has shifted to become
more NE to SW elongated with the center across New England. This
will leave us with NE-ENE low level flow into C AL. In the upper
levels, broad troughing across ERN Conus has become flattened as
the main low over ERN Canada pushes EWD. Across AL and much of the
Gulf Coast, the flow will be very weak, but with some weak broad
troughing trying to dig well to our N. Rain free conditions will
persist through the short term. Look for high temps to continue to
slowly moderate upward for Tuesday and again on Wednesday.
Overnight lows will be pleasant, remain below normal for mid Sept,
and have only minor fluctuations.
08
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 1055 PM CDT MON SEP 8 2025
Guidance continues to indicate a rain free pattern for the extended.
ERN Conus ridging will remain the dominant feature through the end
of the week. A cold front will begin to make its way SSEWD from
the Dakotas early Sat to the Mid Mississippi River Valley by early
Monday, but remain alas to our N still. In the upper levels, weak
flow/troughing will be present across the Deep South for mid
week, but with only very meager moisture available. As we head
into the end of the week and next weekend, upper ridging spreads
across the Central US from W TX with weak NRLY flow into AL and
dry conditions. High temperatures slowly moderate upward through
the extended. However, overnight lows should rebound nicely with
the overall dry conditions through the latter half of the week but
do look to begin to trend upward as well by next weekend.
08
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 556 AM CDT TUE SEP 9 2025
VFR conditions are anticipated for the entire TAF period.
/44/
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Rain free weather is forecast to prevail across Central Alabama
for the upcoming week with surface ridging in place. Afternoon
minimum RHs are currently forecast to average above critical
thresholds. 20 foot winds will be east between 5-10 mph on Tuesday.
20 foot winds become lighter and turn to the northeast on
Wednesday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     84  56  86  58 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    83  58  85  59 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  85  62  87  62 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  88  63  90  63 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      86  61  87  61 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      83  62  85  61 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  86  63  88  61 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        85  63  86  60 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....08
AVIATION.../44/

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion