Silver Run, Mississippi Weather Forecast Discussion

347
FXUS64 KMOB 092322
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
622 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1155 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
An upper shortwave stretching from south-central Canada to the
Dakotas will dive east-southeastward though midweek allowing the
trough over eastern North America to become highly amplified on
Friday. This trough will slowly shift eastward, with the axis
reaching the Eastern Seaboard on Saturday. In the meantime, an
upper ridge builds over the nation`s midsection. A weak surface
low pressure system across the east-central Gulf will gradually
dissipate through midweek, while a strong surface ridge remains
across the southeast states. The surface ridge will weaken through
the remainder of the week, but remain largely intact through early
next week. A deep dry northerly flow above 700mb and large-scale
subsidence will keep our area rain-free through the entire
forecast, with only a daily occurrence of fair-weather cumulus
clouds expected.
After one more day with temperatures around to slightly above
normal on Wednesday, we will see highs rebound to 3 to 6 degrees
above normal the latter part of the week into early next week.
Lows will continue to be around to slightly below normal through
the remainder of the week before nudging upward to around to
slightly above normal early next week.
Beach Forecast - The rip current risk will remain HIGH through
midweek as the tight pressure gradient maintains a strong
easterly component to the winds along the coast. The rip current
probability guidance then trends toward a LOW risk Thursday
through Saturday. /22
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 622 PM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
VFR conditions are expected to prevail through Wednesday. A light
northeasterly flow overnight increases to 5-10 knots on
Wednesday. /29
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1240 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the Gulf through 1 PM
Wednesday as a surface ridge across the southeast states maintains
a strong easterly flow. Seas will hold at 4 to 6 feet. Winds will
then diminish Wednesday afternoon into Thursday, along with seas
subsiding. A light to moderate diurnal pattern follows for Friday
and into the weekend. /22
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      68  90  65  91  66  92  67  92 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   71  90  70  90  70  92  70  90 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      72  88  70  89  71  90  72  89 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   63  90  61  93  63  94  63  93 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  64  89  61  91  63  92  64  93 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Camden      63  88  61  91  64  92  64  92 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   66  88  63  90  63  92  64  91 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday afternoon for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
     206.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT Wednesday for GMZ650-655-670-
     675.
&&
$$
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NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion