607 FXUS61 KRLX 100717 AFDRLXAREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 317 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
.SYNOPSIS... High pressure maintains control over the area through much of the week, yielding a stretch of dry weather amid a subtle warming trend.
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.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 315 AM Wednesday...
An upper level trough that moves east into the area today may prompt an increase in cloud cover, though drier conditions are expected to continue thanks to persistent high pressure and dry air at the surface. Some moisture may encroach upon the mountains as a low travels up the Atlantic Coast; however, precipitation associated with the system is expected to remain east of the forecast area.
Seasonable temperatures should range from mid 70s to low 80s in the lowlands and mid 60s to 70s in the mountains. Another cool night is ahead, with lows forecast to be in the mid 40s to low 50s.
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.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... As of 315 AM Wednesday...
High pressure persists beneath an eastward moving trough on Thursday, then an upper level ridge begins building in from the west on Friday. This should result in a continuation of quiet weather through the end of the work week.
Temperatures should trend warmer as ridging builds, with low to mid 80s expected for the lowlands and mid 60s to upper 70s in the mountains on Friday.
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.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 315 AM Wednesday...
Upper level ridging remains present to the west while a low pivots across the northeastern US this weekend into early next week. This low may send a front down through the area late Sunday night into Monday. While the majority of the long term forecast period should be dry, there is a small possibility of a few showers in conjunction with the front.
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.AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 125 AM Wednesday...
The one exception to VFR conditions will be in patchy valley fog early this morning. EKN, PKB, and CRW remain the most likely sites to experience sub-VFR ceilings and visibilities in fog, though brief restrictions aren`t completely out of the question for HTS or CKB around sunrise. Fog will dissipate by 13 to 14Z, then high pressure brings another quiet, VFR day.
Calm to light winds continue through the morning, then light and northerly flow is expected during the day. Winds calm again after 00Z.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing and extent of fog may vary from the forecast.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
DATE WED 09/10/25 UTC 1HRLY 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 EDT 1HRLY 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 CRW CONSISTENCY H H M L M M M H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H M M M H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H L M M M M M M H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H M L M M M L H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H M M M M H H H H H
AFTER 06Z THURSDAY... IFR possible in early morning valley fog each morning.
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.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...None. OH...None. KY...None. VA...None.
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SYNOPSIS...20 NEAR TERM...20 SHORT TERM...20 LONG TERM...20 AVIATION...20
NWS RLX Office Area Forecast Discussion