Smith Center, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

749
FXUS63 KGID 090914
AFDGID
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
414 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Patchy fog this morning will burn off by midday, with a
  potential repeat of some morning fog both Wednesday and
  Thursday mornings.
- Spotty/periodic thunderstorm chances are anticipated across at
  least parts of the local area through the end of the work week.
- Temperatures will continue a steady climb across the area
  each day this week, peaking in the lower 90s Friday afternoon.
- Slightly cooler weather is anticipated over the upcoming
  weekend as shower/thunderstorm activity increases across the
  local area.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 324 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
Low level stratus can be seen expanding in coverage across the
region this morning as the showers and thunderstorms that
developed late last night continue to exit the area to the
east. So far we have seen only some patchy fog across Furnas
county locally, but expect fog to expand in coverage over the
next few hours as we approach daybreak, with the thickest fog
anticipated across areas mainly along and west of Highway 281.
Once developed, it will likely take several hours for this fog
to dissipate, potentially holding down high temperatures a few
degrees, with mostly sunny skies eventually expected to return
to the entire area during the afternoon hours.
For the rest of the week...expect temperatures to gradually warm
across the local area each day as high pressure aloft
intensifies ahead of a west coast trough. This will be a bit of
a messy ridge, however, with indications of multiple weak
disturbances reaching the local area and bringing with them
spotty precip chances primarily focused during the evening and
overnight hours.
Eventually, expect the west coast trough to migrate eastward by
the weekend, bringing a better chance for more widespread
shower and thunderstorm activity...with ensembles showing an
uptick in precipitation chances over the weekend. That said,
most members indicate precip totals this weekend will be modest,
with overall qpf amounts generally less than 0.5". Still plenty
of time for changes, but for the time being it appears that
there will be increased cloud cover, slightly cooler
temperatures and some light precip around over the upcoming
weekend, with severe weather unlikely.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1227 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
For KGRI/KEAR Airports:
An couple of thunderstorms will continue to impact the terminals
for the next hour before pushing southeast by 07Z. IFR CIGS will
then settle in at both sites...with some MVFR vsbys possible in
BR towards daybreak. Think the worst of the VSBY restrictions
will remain to the west of both sites, but will need to monitor
KEAR especially as it will be closer to the more significantly
reduced VSBYS. Otherwise...winds will be light and variable
overnight...and remain light out of the south through the
afternoon hours Tuesday with VFR CIGS returning by around
09/15Z.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 324 AM CDT Tue Sep 9 2025
An Areal Flood Warning for much of Mitchell County Kansas
continues through 2 PM this afternoon. Excessive
runoff from rainfall that impacted much of Mitchell county
Monday morning will continue to work its way downstream through
the morning hours, helping to ease flood concerns.
&&
.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Rossi
AVIATION...Rossi
HYDROLOGY...Rossi

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion