South Windham, Vermont Weather Forecast Discussion

925
FXUS61 KALY 272301
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
701 PM EDT Sat Sep 27 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
A coastal storm over the mid Atlantic region may bring some
spotty light showers to areas well south and east of Albany
tonight. Otherwise dry conditions will prevail through the next
week with high pressure in control. Temperatures will be above
normal through early next week, then trending cooler and more
seasonable mid to late week.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Key Message:
- Above normal temperatures through early next week.
Discussion:
High level clouds will continue to increase this afternoon into
this evening, as a coastal storm near SE Virginia tracks
northeast off the mid Atlantic coast. There looks to be just
enough forcing to bring a few light showers to some areas
south/east of Albany and mainly Dutchess/Litchfield County where
30-50% PoPs are mentioned late this evening into the early
overnight hours. Any measurable rain will be light < 0.10".
Otherwise it will be mostly cloudy with some clearing across
northern areas late as the system moves further away from the
coast. Lows temperatures will be mild in the 50s to near 60F.
Clouds will decrease from NW to SE Sun morning as a westerly
flow develops. Temperatures will get quite warm in the afternoon
with good mixing and an anomalously warm air mass in place (850
mb temperatures anomalies of +1 to +2 STDEV). Highs should
reach the lower 80s in most lower elevations with some mid 80s
south of Albany. It will also feel humid with dewpoints in the
lower/mid 60s. A weak cool front will move through late Sun
afternoon into the evening, which will result in lowering
humidity and cooler temperatures for Sun night. Lows will be in
the mid 40s to mid 50s.
High pressure to build back in on Mon bringing dry conditions
and plenty of sunshine. It will be slightly cooler and less
humid than Sun, but high temperatures will still be above
normal. Tranquil conditions persist Mon night with high pressure
in place.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Key Message:
- Temperatures trending below normal mid to late next week.
Discussion:
A strong/large area of high pressure building south from Canada
will push a dry cold front southward across the area on Tue.
Prior to the front it will still be mild (highs mid/upper 70s)
Tue afternoon, but then a cooling trend will occur behind the
front Tue night through the rest of the work week. Temperatures
will likely be below normal through Fri. Northerly winds will be
a bit breezy late Tue into Wed prior to the high building in.
Frost may occur Wed/Thu nights, especially over higher terrain
areas. Ridging both at the surface and aloft will be the
dominant feature through the period, so no precipitation is
expected.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 00z Monday...As of 7:00 PM EDT, flying conditions remain
VFR at all terminals. VFR conditions will persist through the
next several hours, although high clouds thicken with a few
mid-level clouds between 4000-6000 ft also possible. Near POU,
there could be a few light showers, mainly between 03-06z, but
even within showers expecting mainly VFR conditions. High clouds
diminish from northwest to southeast late tonight, and as this
happens some patchy fog may develop. Best chance is at GFL,
while confidence is lower at the other 3 terminals. Anywhere
fog develops, IFR to LIFR vsbys and cigs will be possible. Any
fog/mist should dissipate by 12-13z with a return to VFR
conditions with FEW to SCT mid and high clouds through the
remainder of the TAF period.
Winds will generally be from the S/SE at 5kt or less through
tonight, increasing to 4-8 kt tomorrow morning from the
southwest. Winds then veer to the W/NW behind a cold frontal
passage tomorrow early afternoon and increase to 5-10 kt with a
few gusts to around 15 kt possible at ALB/PSF. Winds then veer
to the N/NW at ALB/GFL within the last few hours of the TAF
period, with any gusts diminishing as we approach sunset.
Outlook...
Sunday Night to Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night to Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
&&
.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...JPV
SHORT TERM...JPV
LONG TERM...JPV
AVIATION...Main

NWS ALY Office Area Forecast Discussion