Your favorites:

Taopi, Minnesota Weather Forecast Discussion

780
FXUS63 KARX 232330
AFDARX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service La Crosse WI 630 PM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Seasonable conditions the rest of the week with temps generally at/few degrees above normal. Apart from some morning fog the next couple days, dry conditions should prevail.

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 127 PM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025

The upper trough that had a hand in yesterday`s severe weather chances has finally drifted east of our area, putting the region in weak northerly flow aloft. A weak upper low across the Central Rockies is starting to get shunted east as a ridge begins to build across the Pacific Northwest. This is creating a long trough axis that extends through the Upper Mississippi Valley and into the southern Ontario with the upper jet well to our north. As the trough axis begins to pivot counterclockwise into the Ohio River Valley, a string to weak surface lows will trek across the nations mid section. Guidance over the last day has trended further south with the track of these lows, nullifying rain chances across the region. Even with some weak shortwaves passing overhead in the cyclonic flow aloft, low level capping and overall issues with moisture depth should keep all rain chances at bay through the work week. Weak flow will prevail across the area this weekend with a weak ridge progressively building in. This looks to keep the forecast dry through at least early next week.

Temperatures overall will be mild but near normal through the week with highs generally in the 70s. Friday and Monday look to be the best chances to cross the 80 degree mark but otherwise most days should see minor fluctuations in temperatures overall.

Similar to today, we will see chances for fog the next couple of mornings with dew point depressions less than 4 degrees and overall moist soils from recent rains. The main limiting factor will be boundary layer winds being a little stronger than desired which would increase mixing. Should winds slightly under-perform current expectations, fog may be a little more widespread. If fog doesn`t materialize, saturation in the low levels will likely still lead to low stratus development overnight and into the morning hours before burning off.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 629 PM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025

Some isolated showers are possible (10-15%) across portions of Wisconsin over the next hour, but will dissipate quickly with sunset. Overnight, IFR to LIFR conditions are expected in the form of mist/fog (20-40%) and low stratus (30-60%) given abundant low level moisture from the wet antecedent conditions and moisture flowing off the Great Lakes into the region. Confidence is not overly high on how dense the fog will become given stronger winds aloft and model guidance beginning to slightly trend towards higher visibilities. However, have introduced visibility restrictions to the TAFs to highlight the mist/fog potential. Mist/fog/low stratus scatters out Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WI...None. MN...None. IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Barendse AVIATION...Falkinham

NWS ARX Office Area Forecast Discussion

WeatherForYou.com, LLC is not responsible for any damages or problems caused by this service. Current weather conditions are obtained from the closest government operated station, a personal station contributing to the PWSweather.com network or from the Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS). Some weather information is powered by XWeather. WeatherForYou.com, NOAA, AerisWeather and their data providers disclaim liability of any kind whatsoever, including, without limitation, liability for quality, performance, merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose arising out of the use or inability to use the data. Like all things, this site belongs to Jesus Christ ... He just trusts us to maintain it. If you have any questions or comments please use the suggestion box.

Copyright © 1999 - 2025, WeatherForYou.com LLC. All rights reserved.