794 FXUS64 KCRP 151103 AFDCRPArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 603 AM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 601 AM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
- Daily low (20-30%) shower and thunderstorm chances during the upcoming work week peaking to 40-50% Wed/Thu
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1221 AM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
Isolated to scattered showers will be possible once again today. Some shortwaves are expected to ride the eastern periphery of the aforementioned 700-850mb ridge that will continue to progress to the east coupled with the daily seabreeze and diurnal cycle, will lead to a low to medium chance of showers and thunderstorms through the week. Around midweek however, guidance is hinting at a potential surface low that will develop over eastern Mexico. This would provide more enhanced lift allowing for increased rain chances (30-50%) during the mid to latter portions of the week (Wed. and Thur.) Chances decrease at the conclusion of the week around 20-40%.
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.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 601 AM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
Other than for a few hours this morning of MVFR visibilities at VCT, VFR conditions will be expected throughout this TAF cycle. There is a low chance for showers to impact the eastern sites this morning and afternoon. Winds will remain relatively light all day and become variable during the overnight hours.
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.MARINE... Issued at 1221 AM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) east to southeasterly breeze conditions expected to persist throughout the week. A low to medium chance (20-50%) of showers and thunderstorms will exist through the week. Seas will generally range from 3 to 5 feet.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 91 74 91 75 / 30 10 30 10 Victoria 93 69 94 69 / 20 0 10 0 Laredo 97 72 96 73 / 10 0 10 0 Alice 94 70 94 70 / 30 0 30 10 Rockport 91 77 91 77 / 30 10 30 20 Cotulla 96 71 96 72 / 10 0 10 0 Kingsville 92 72 91 72 / 40 10 30 10 Navy Corpus 89 80 88 80 / 30 10 40 30
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.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. &&
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DISCUSSION...NP/92 AVIATION...JCP/84
NWS CRP Office Area Forecast Discussion