Verda, Louisiana Weather Forecast Discussion

958
FXUS64 KSHV 251727 AAA
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1227 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1120 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
- Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible this
   afternoon across portions of South Arkansas and North
   Louisiana.
- Milder temperatures expected through the upcoming weekend.
- Temperatures should begin to moderate next week with dry
   conditions persisting.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1039 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
A weak frontal boundary across the lower Mississippi River Valley
combined with an upper-trough swinging east across the region
could allow for widely scattered showers and thunderstorms across
north Louisiana and south Arkansas this afternoon. Once the trough
exits to the east, upper-level ridging will build across the Red
River Valley into Oklahoma allowing for north to northwest flow
across the ArkLaTex through the weekend. Subsidence associated
with the ridge will allow for mostly clear skies areawide through
much of the period. This pattern to persist through at least
Tuesday. On Wednesday, the forecast becomes a bit more challenging
and is dependent on a series of disturbances in the tropical
Atlantic that will build west across the southeast CONUS.
Instability associated with these disturbances could allow for
increasing rain chances by midweek.
Much milder temperatures expected through the weekend as highs
will average in the mid to upper 80s with lows in the upper 50s to
lower 60s. Otherwise, could see slightly warmer overnight low
temperatures in the low to mid 60s by midweek. /05/
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1227 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Mostly VFR conditions should continue through the 25/18Z TAF
period. Low cu cigs have developed early this afternoon over SW AR
and much of N LA, along an upper trough extending SW through the
region from the Middle Great Lakes Region into the Mid MS Valley.
The cu field should remain more scattered over E TX, and should
diminish around/shortly after 00Z, although the cu should persist
through the evening/overnight hours over much of SW AR/N LA.
Isolated -SHRA can`t be ruled out this afternoon/early evening
over portions of Srn AR/NCntrl LA, but low confidence precludes
VCSH mention in the ELD/MLU terminals attm. The cu may lower
overnight as the low level reflection of this trough sinks S
through the Lower MS Valley, affecting ELD/MLU, before a scattered
cu field redevelops by the end of the TAF period (late Friday
morning) elsewhere across the region. NNW winds 5-8kts this
afternoon will become Lt/Vrb after 00Z. /15/
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1120 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  65  86  63  87 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  64  85  60  86 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  58  84  57  86 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  62  85  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  60  84  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  62  84  61  85 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  61  85  60  86 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  62  87  61  88 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...15

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion