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Waller Lake, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

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FXUS62 KFFC 281829
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 229 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 218 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025

- No impacts from Imelda are expected for North and Central GA.

- Dry conditions through the upcoming week except for 15-25% rain chances on Monday and Tuesday.

- Temps falling into the mid 70s and breezy winds each afternoon will lead to fall like conditions through late week.

&&

.SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Monday) Issued at 218 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025

Taking a good look at satellite and you can see that the front has cleared the CWA, leaving a few lingering wisps of clouds but otherwise much drier conditions then we`ve seen recently. Highs in the mid to upper 80s today are expected to drop into the low 80s and upper 70s tomorrow as high pressure gets established. This will be the trend through the short term and will help to keep any tropical threat well away from the Atlantic coast.

As we get further away from the front, winds are expected to pick up tomorrow in the early afternoon. ENE winds at around 10-15mph could gust as high as 25mph by tomorrow afternoon. Other than that, it looks like the start of a beautiful week.

&&

.LONG TERM... (Tuesday morning through next Saturday) Issued at 218 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025

The newly named Tropical Storm Imelda is centered about 95 miles to the west of the central Bahamas, and is anticipated to move slowly northward through the short term period. By the beginning of the long term period on Tuesday morning, the center of Imelda is expected to be positioned a couple of hundred miles to the southeast of the Georgia coast. Ensemble guidance is coming into better agreement that the storm will begin to turn eastward into the Atlantic on Tuesday, accelerating as it moves towards Bermuda. Examining the trends in the last few track forecasts from NHC, the point at which the storm`s movement shifts from north to east is trending further away from Georgia to the south and east. The increasing agreement in an eastward turn further away from the forecast area begets increasing confidence that wind and rain impacts from Imelda will be minimal in north and central Georgia. A moist airmass will be in place across the area on Tuesday, with dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s. As temperatures rise into the low to mid 80s, scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop on Tuesday afternoon. PoPs will be highest (30-50 percent) in the eastern portions of the forecast area, in the closest proximity to Imelda, with progressively lower PoPs further west.

On Wednesday, a broad upper level ridge will become centered over the east CONUS, with a strong surface high moving over New England. A wedge of high pressure associated with this surface high will spread into north Georgia as Imelda continues to retreat eastward into the Atlantic. This synoptic setup will favor cooler and drier conditions during the later part of the week and into the weekend, with minimal rain chances, highs in the mid to upper 70s and lows in the mid 50s to low 60s. Winds are furthermore expected to be northeasterly during the mid to late week, rising to 10-15 mph with gusts as high as 25 mph during the afternoon hours.

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.AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 121 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025

VFR conditions expected through the TAF cycle with NE winds at less than 10kts. Some SCT MVFR CIGS are possible again tomorrow morning but should rise toward low VFR after 16Z.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

High on all elements.

Vaughn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 65 76 64 77 / 0 30 20 20 Atlanta 67 81 66 81 / 0 10 10 20 Blairsville 59 76 59 76 / 10 30 20 50 Cartersville 65 84 64 84 / 0 10 10 20 Columbus 68 84 67 84 / 0 10 10 10 Gainesville 66 79 65 79 / 0 20 20 30 Macon 67 79 66 81 / 0 20 10 10 Rome 65 86 66 86 / 0 10 10 20 Peachtree City 65 81 65 82 / 0 10 10 10 Vidalia 70 81 68 81 / 20 60 20 30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&

$$

SHORT TERM...Vaughn LONG TERM....King AVIATION...Vaughn

NWS FFC Office Area Forecast Discussion

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