West Millgrove, Ohio Weather Forecast Discussion

250
FXUS61 KCLE 301058
AFDCLE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
658 AM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025
...12z TAF Aviation Forecast Update...
.SYNOPSIS...
A weak cold front will move south across the area today,
followed by strong high pressure that will build south east over
the northeastern United States by Wednesday. This high will
maintain influence over the region through the weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A weak cold front will move south across the area today, but the
frontal passage will be dry and strong Canadian high pressure
will build southeast across the northeastern CONUS in its wake.
This high will maintain influence and provide dry weather through
the near term period (and beyond). The pressure gradient will
tighten in response to the high building southeast, resulting in
increasing northeast winds across the area tonight through
Wednesday. Sustained winds to around 10 to 15 mph (possibly
locally higher downwind from Lake Erie in NW OH) are expected
primarily during the afternoon and early evening today and
Wednesday with gusts to 20 to 25 mph possible during peak
diurnal mixing. The air mass will be quite dry today and
especially Wednesday with dew points in the upper 30s and 40s
anticipated across most of the area during the day Wednesday.
The only exception will be locations in NW OH that will maintain
dew points in the 50s due to northeast winds off of the lake.
Temperatures will be a few degrees above normal in the 70s and
lower 80s today, but a much cooler air mass will arrive behind
the cold front tonight through Wednesday. Overnight lows will
fall into the 40s and 50s with the coolest temps in the lower
50s expected in the higher terrain of NE OH/NW PA. On Wednesday,
highs will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s, however mid to
upper 70s are possible from roughly Findlay to Mt. Vernon
Wednesday afternoon.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
The aforementioned high will continue to build southeast across
the region through the end of the workweek and the prolonged
stretch of dry weather will continue through the short term
period. Wednesday night will be the coolest night of the week
with widespread 40s anticipated across the CWA. Typical chilly
spots across NE OH and NW PA will likely dip into the lower 40s
and possibly upper 30s. Can`t completely rule out some mid-30s
across interior NW PA, although frost potential is still low at
this point given elevated winds. Will need to keep an eye on how
wind speeds trend since flow will be diminishing a bit Wednesday
night into early Thursday; patchy frost may need to be added to
the forecast if winds trend lighter. Near-normal temperatures
are expected Thursday before temps warm as the local area
becomes situated on the backside of the high Friday. Chilly
overnight lows in the 40s and lower 50s are expected Thursday
night with temps warming a bit overnight Friday.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Dry weather will persist through the long term period as the
high maintains influence over the eastern CONUS. Temperatures
will likely remain above normal in the 70s and lower 80s this
weekend through early next week. Humidity may begin to increase
a bit on Monday as return flow deepens in response to the upper
ridge axis shifting east of the CWA.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/...
VFR conditions will continue for this period through tonight
into Wednesday morning. Skies will remain mostly clear during
the next 24 hours. Winds will start out around 5 knots from the
northeast this morning. Northeast winds will increase 8 to 12
knots by midday into this afternoon and evening. Some gusts of
20 knots are likely this afternoon at CLE, FDY, and ERI. Gusts
will relax after 00z this evening and overnight.
Outlook...VFR expected through Saturday.
&&
.MARINE...
Conditions on Lake Erie will become rough and not ideal for boating
or swimming later today into Wednesday. Northeast winds will
increase on Lake Erie today due to an stronger pressure gradient
between a Canadian high pressure system and two tropical systems off
the southeastern coast of the U.S. A Small Craft Advisory will be
issued for later today through Wednesday evening. Northeast winds
will increase to 15 and 25 knots by late this afternoon and waves
building to 3 and 7 feet in the open water. Beach hazard statements
will also go in effect later today due to a high risk for rip
currents. Hazardous swimming conditions will last through Wednesday
evening. Winds will relax to 10 to 15 knots from the east by
Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Generally Easterly winds of
10 to 15 knots are expected Thursday, with some Northeast component
in the afternoon from a lake breeze. A light southerly component 5
to 10 knots in the wind flow will return Friday and Saturday
and waves of 1 to 2 feet.
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Beach Hazards Statement from 4 PM EDT this afternoon through
     Wednesday evening for OHZ007-009>012-089.
PA...Beach Hazards Statement from 4 PM EDT this afternoon through
     Wednesday evening for PAZ001.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 5 PM EDT
     Wednesday for LEZ142.
     Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT
     Wednesday for LEZ143>149.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...15
NEAR TERM...15
SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM...15
AVIATION...77
MARINE...77

NWS CLE Office Area Forecast Discussion